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India sees little hope of Pakistan mending ways
By C. Raja Mohan
NEW DELHI, MAY 2. Although the United States has put Pakistan on
notice, there is no expectation in the Government here that the
Gen. Pervez Musharraf regime will end its support to terrorism in
Jammu and Kashmir any time soon. Official sources here say the
Government is satisfied that the Clinton Administration has
finally confirmed what India has been saying all along about
Pakistan's support to cross- border terrorism.
After years of dancing around the issue, the latest annual report
of the U.S. State Department has now declared that ``credible
reports continued to indicate official Pakistani support for
Kashmiri militant groups that engage in terrorism''. Sources in
the Government attribute the new clarity in the U.S. formulations
to increasing frustration in Washington at Pakistan's failure to
deliver on American regional security concerns, and growing
institutional interaction between New Delhi and Washington on
issues relating to international terrorism.
Sections of the American establishment, however, seem to be
hopeful of a change in Pakistan's support for international
terrorism in the wake of the President, Mr. Bill Clinton's tough
message during his brief stopover in Islamabad at the end of
March.
It is not surprising, informed sources here argue, that there is
a residual temptation in Washington to soften the public blow
against Pakistan.
This was evident at the press conference in Washington on Monday,
where both the U.S. Secretary of State, Ms. Madeleine Albright,
and the Coordinator on Counter-terrorism, Mr. Michael Sheehan,
were quite cautious in their remarks on Pakistan.
While some in America might hope that there is redemption for
Pakistan, India believes there is no evidence to suggest
Islamabad is about initiate a major change in approach.
Gen. Musharraf, it is being pointed out, has not shown the
ability over the last six months to move decisively in addressing
the many diverse challenges he faces.
Neither on the economic front nor on the political scene has Gen.
Musharraf been able to overcome the inertia of the past policies.
It is being concluded here that Gen. Musharraf may not have the
stomach to take on the various jehadi groups in Pakistan that are
wedded to extremism and violence. There is no real political
constituency in Pakistan supporting a different approach towards
Kashmir. And the opposition to change is vocal and significant.
It is only a matter of time, officials here say, before India and
the U.S. will have to begin finding a way to deal with the
political consequences of Pakistan's reluctance or inability to
kick its addiction to international terrorism.
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