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Putin says a polite ''no''
THE WEEKEND'S FULL-SCALE summit meeting between a President who
is to demit office in a matter of six months and another who
entered it barely a month ago has one message for the world: at
the helm in Moscow is a strong, determined leader who is ready to
cooperate with the sole superpower but will stand up for what he
deems is in the national interest. The summit was part of a
global farewell tour for the American President, Mr. Bill
Clinton. But for Mr. Vladimir Putin, this was the first major
international encounter as leader in his own right, with the
world watching to see if he would tread the path of his
unpredictable predecessor, Mr. Boris Yeltsin, and yield to
Western blandishments or chart an independent course. The signals
from Moscow point to a departure from the Yeltsin era. By signing
two agreements and agreeing to disagree over a highly
controversial security issue, Mr. Putin has let it be known that
he has arrived on the international scene. The implications of
the message cannot be overemphasised in a global security
situation that is in a state of extreme flux. A new President set
to take office in January in the U.S. adds another imponderable.
The two agreements signed by Mr. Clinton and Mr. Putin during
their summit will doubtless make for a more secure world. Under
one accord, the two countries agreed to convert 34 tonnes each of
weapons-grade plutonium, enough for thousands of nuclear
missiles, into a form unusable on warheads. A part of the huge
funds needed to build a new Russian facility to do the conversion
will come from the U.S. In the wake of the collapse of the Soviet
Union, the U.S. had successfully concluded such agreements with
the new republics, essentially Ukraine, to dismantle their
nuclear stockpile and with Russia, the successor state, to
convert weapons-grade plutonium as part of a larger effort to
address the nuclear proliferation threat. The second agreement
initialled in Moscow will help to create a permanent joint U.S.-
Russia early warning system to detect nuclear missile strikes.
Mr. Clinton, however, appeared unable to persuade Mr. Putin to
accept an American plan for a national missile defence system.
The result of a study which predicted that in five years the U.S.
will be vulnerable to missile attacks by the so-called ``rogue''
nations, it called for building a land-based shield. European
allies, Russia and now China fear that the plan could undermine
the strategic stability based on the notion of ``balance of
terror'' that emerged from the historic 1972 anti-ballistic
missile treaty and heralded nuclear disarmament. The American
plan, allies fear, can trigger an arms race as others seek to
raise their own protective shields. During the summit, Mr. Putin
acknowledged the dangers from irresponsible states acquiring
strike capacity and, aware that a Republican at the White House
next January might press Moscow even harder, offered to study the
possibility of a joint effort to counter such threats. En route
to Moscow, Mr. Clinton heard his European allies raise
suggestions that Washington was overstating the threat from the
``rogue'' States since no nation would launch such suicidal
strikes. An America showing signs of a return to isolationism and
ready to hunker down in its own shield is a nightmarish scenario
for the European allies. They and the rest of the world have
increasing cause for worry from the competitive militarism in
evidence in the U.S., driven by domestic politics in this
Presidential election year. The Republicans' presumptive
Presidential candidate, Mr. George Bush, has called the ABM
treaty a relic of the past and has unveiled a defence system that
rivals Ronald Reagan's Star Wars. The polite ``no'' that Mr.
Putin delivered to Mr. Clinton is addressed as much to Mr. Bush.
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