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Management of States' finances
By V. Jayanth
AT A time when the finances of State Governments are coming under
intense scrutiny, some States have opted for increased
transparency on the fiscal status. Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka
are a couple of States which have released White Papers on their
finances and focussed on the problems ahead. In the case of
Andhra Pradesh, despite a White Paper and a constant review,
things have not improved. The Comptroller and Auditor General
(CAG) has been quite critical about the management of the State's
finances. The Chandrababu Naidu Government is pondering over the
CAG report and trying to come to grips with the burden of
subsidies and populist schemes.
The Centre, especially the Finance Minister, Mr. Yashwant Sinha,
is taking a critical look at the State finances, even as the
Planning Commission is trying to reorient its exercise of fixing
the Annual Plan outlays for the States. Individual Union
Ministries, Power for instance, are coming down heavily on State
Governments and State Electricity Boards (SEBs) who have not been
able to pay their dues to the Central energy agencies such as the
NTPC.
Not to be left out, the RBI too wants to review the debt burden
of the States, so that they do not get into a debt trap or resort
to repeated ways and means loans or temporary overdrafts. The RBI
has set up a working group of Finance Secretaries to go into the
problem of interest burden of the State Governments. It also
plans to constitute a task force to go into the extent of
manoeuverability available in budget-making for the States. The
RBI will provide technical and secretarial support to these
groups to carry out the assignment.
But the best move on this front could well be from the Planning
Commission. It must follow up on the suggestion for making the
States' Plans more realistic and workable. It has suggested that
instead of the States officials and finally Chief
Ministers/Finance Ministers going to New Delhi to finalise the
Annual Plan, the Commission could depute a team to visit the
States and evolve pragmatic Plans.
The Deputy Chairman, Mr. K. C. Pant, has adopted a pragmatic
approach to finalising the Annual Plan outlays for the States
this year. He must carry this process forward to launch a joint
exercise with the State administrations to monitor and review the
Plans' implementation to ensure full utilisation. The present
practice seems to be first to fix a five-year Plan allocation and
then spread it over the years on an incremental basis. It works
out to a 5 to 10 per cent annual increase in Plan size for
States, depending on their capacity to mobilise resources. But
the Planning Commission must be able to review the progress to
prevent any diversion of funds to non-Plan expenditure and ensure
there is no non-utilisation or under-utilisation of allocated
funds, which will only deprive other States or projects of much
needed and scarce resources.
Hence the suggestion from the Planning Commission, that there
should be a mid-year review with the State Governments on Plan
implementation. If this review is done by September-October, it
may be possible to either pump in more funds to complete
essential projects in a State, or divert money to other States if
one of them is unable to absorb it.
Uttar Pradesh and Punjab have emerged as classic examples of
States facing a major financial crisis - where expenditure has
outstripped revenue collections. Thanks to huge subsidies, a
flabby administration, steady decline in revenues (especially
non-tax revenue), the States have not been able to pay their
employees in time. The U.P. Electricity Board even threatened to
cut off power supply to the residence of the Chief Minister in
Lucknow and to the Raj Bhavan because of the huge arrears. The
State could not pay till March 31 because it had no funds.
Andhra Pradesh has gone through a turbulent year or two in its
finances, frequently resorting to ways and means loans,
overdrafts with the RBI and an SOS to the Centre for urgent
assistance or grants. The recently- tabled CAG report once again
focusses attention on the delicate financial situation in
Hyderabad, now being called Cyberabad. The CAG report for 1998-99
warned: ``The revenue and fiscal deficits have shown an
increasing trend over the past five years, from Rs. 728 crores to
Rs. 2,684 crores; and Rs. 2,349 crores to Rs. 5,705 crores
respectively.''It says the State Government took recourse to ways
and means advances and overdraft more often than earlier years;
the State also raised an amount of Rs. 115.85 crores from
Government companies/corporations and postponed the repayment of
Central loans aggregating to Rs. 1,770.48 crores, due between
July 1998 and March 1999 and actually repaid in April 1999. The
Government depended on borrowings to meet its Plan expenditure,
except for 1997-98.
Karnataka's recent White Paper on State finances highlights the
areas of concern not just in Bangalore, but for all the States,
because they seem to be facing the same problems. The paper makes
it clear: ``There has been a marked deterioration in the finances
of the State... In recent years, serious erosion is observed in
fiscal health of the State Governments in general and Karnataka
is no exception... Immediate corrective measures are necessary to
restore fiscal health and to ensure that Karnataka continues to
be a favoured destination for investments''.
According to the White Paper, the per capita Gross State Domestic
Product (GSDP) in 1997-98, at Rs. 3,073 was lower than the
average of the country, Rs. 3,251. Per capita household
consumption was also lower, by four per cent in rural and six per
cent in urban areas. It notes that Government revenues were
stagnant and inadequate to meet expanding expenditure
commitments. ``The widening imbalance between revenue and
expenditures has diverted borrowed funds to meet unproductive
expenditures. This has created a vicious cycle of deficit-induced
borrowings, interest payments and increase in indebtedness.''The
state of the Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs), especially the
SEBs, and the uneconomic pricing of utilities or services have
been identified as the main reasons for the financial mess most
States find themselves in. Of course, the salary burden has
increased tremendously with the implementation of the Fifth Pay
Commission's recommendations.
In Karnataka, the explicit subsidy to the SEB in 1998-99 was a
whopping Rs. 914 crores - making up almost three-fourths of the
revenue deficit of the State Government. Wiping out the losses of
the SEB alone can reduce its deficit by 75 per cent, which means
cutting down on free and subsidised power. The CAG reports on
Tamil Nadu run on similar lines - the financial position of the
State shows ``decline in relative share of revenue receipts,
increased borrowing and depletion of cash balance''. There was a
substantial increase in revenue deficit and the ratio of revenue
deficit to fiscal deficit increased, indicating that the debt
burden was increasing without adding to the repayment capacity of
the State.
This kind of a periodic assessment of a State's finances makes
the solutions obvious - phasing out subsidies; economic pricing
of services; corporatisation or privatisation of PSUs; a freeze
on recruitment along with re-training and re-deployment of
surplus staff; downsizing the administration by closing down
redundant departments and merging related ones. There must be a
conscious cutting down of wasteful expenditure and public
borrowings, except for specific projects.
The States must augment revenues, focus on infrastructure
development and involvement of the private sector. It needs a
political will to take the tough decisions. For this to happen,
there must be a national consensus among major political parties
at least on fiscal discipline and economic policies.
While the top five States are actively competing to attract
foreign and domestic investments, the financially-vulnerable
States are competing to increase subsidies and introducing more
populist schemes. If a State cannot manage and balance its
resources, it cannot expect the Centre or the RBI to bail it out
every time it is in a soup.
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