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Online edition of India's National Newspaper Wednesday, May 09, 2001 |
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International
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Britain: Poll date set for June 7
By Hasan Suroor
LONDON, MAY 8. Britain today embarked on a hectic four-week
election campaign after the Prime Minister, Mr. Tony Blair met
the Queen and advised her to dissolve Parliament to set the ball
rolling for a general election on June 7.
This put an end to weeks of speculation, and brought a sense of
realism to unofficial electioneering or what The Times called the
``phoney campaign'' which had been going on since almost the
start of this year. From tomorrow, the ``Thunderer'' is expected
to discontinue its ``Phoney Election'' column and get into formal
campaign mode. Labour start as favourites to win the election
with the Tories, according to all indications, headed for a rout.
A solid 20-point lead in opinion polls and with odds favouring it
20-1, Labour is assured of a second term in office and the best
the Tories can do is to cut their losses though even that looks
an uphill task, judging from opinion polls.
Despite considerable disillusionment with the Blair Government's
performance, particularly its handling of the foot- and-mouth
crisis, the odds are that Labour may actually improve on its 1997
performance ending up with even a bigger majority in next
Parliament. Mr. Blair, however, is not taking chances, and told
his Cabinet colleagues on Monday not to be lulled into
complacency and instead fight the election as though it were on a
``knife's edge.'' His main worry is widespread voter apathy which
if translated into a low turnout on the polling day could affect
his party's majority. For unlike the Tories who have a committed
vote bank, Labour depends hugely on floating voters, many of whom
may not necessarily turn up at the polling booth thinking that
the party is winning in any case and that their vote is not
crucial. It is the flipside of a victory taken-for-granted that
is worrying the Labour leadership.
In a pep talk which sounded unusually strong, coming from a Prime
Minister who virtually has the election in his bag, Mr. Blair
warned his Ministers that ``this is going to be a much tougher
fight than people imagine.'' He told them to ``forget the polls
and commentators'' and instead seek every vote with a ``real
grown-up'' and sustained campaign. According to one newspaper,
Mr. Blair's tough talk was prompted by fear that the ``talk of
another Labour landslide was part of a Conservative strategy to
engender more apathy.''
Ironically, it was the Tories who sounded more gung-ho clearly in
a bid to put up a brave face and boost the morale of their
dwindling supporters. The party chief, Mr. William Hague said a
Tory victory was still possible, and believed it was ``very
arrogant'' for people to think that they knew the outcome of the
election even before a single vote had been cast. ``We are
planning for victory. We are ready to win,'' he declared,
launching a tirade against Labour which he called a ``national
and local disgrace.''
The Liberal Democrats had no pretensions of winning the election
but expected to increase their tally in Parliament. Their leader,
Mr. Charles Kennedy, fighting his first serious electoral battle,
was off on the campaign even as the big boys in the Labour and
Tory party were still holed up in their London offices. The
campaign is expected to be viciously personality- oriented,
though the Tories plan to force a debate on issues such as asylum
and Europe - the two areas in which they think they have a better
rapport with the grass roots voter than Labour. Labour is
expected to focus on the theme of improving public services and
creating a more equitable society.
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