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Pro-LTTE Tamils want Govt. defeated
By Nirupama Subramanian
COLOMBO, MAY 15. Pro- LTTE sections of Tamil opinion are egging
on Sri Lanka's Tamil parties to back the Opposition United
National Party's proposed no-confidence motion against the
Government despite fears that political instability at this stage
could disrupt the Norwegian- assisted peace process.
The Tamil United Liberation Front (TULF) has found itself under
fire from the Jaffna Tamil newspaper Uthayan and on pro-LTTE
Internet sites for declaring that it would oppose the no-
confidence motion as toppling the Government now would upset the
process for peace talks with the LTTE.
The TULF swiftly toned down its stand to stress that it would be
forced to reconsider its support to the Government if it did not
take positive steps towards peace talks quickly.
The UNP resolved last month to table a no-confidence motion in
June in response to an internal crisis in the party when
disgruntled members challenged Mr. Ranil Wickremesinghe's
leadership and accused him of being lukewarm in his opposition to
the Government.
Mr. Wickremesinghe was specifically charged with scuttling moves
by UNP parliamentarians to bring down the Government during the
vote on the budget.
The UNP leader took what was presumably the best course for him
to stave off the crisis. Several UNP parliamentarians are
convinced that if the party makes a concerted bid to woo smaller
opposition parties, including three Tamil parties, it could
succeed in ousting the Government with the help of a group of
ruling party parliamentarians who are said to be waiting to
breakaway.
With 116 members, the PA Government has a slim majority of three
in the 225-member Parliament, while the UNP has 89 members. A no-
confidence vote can be passed with a simple majority.
However, it is yet a matter of speculation if the motion will be
tabled at all, and if it is, whether the UNP will be actually
able to muster enough numbers to defeat the Government.
But already, the Tamil parties, whose main preoccupation thus far
was how to get the Government to talk to the LTTE, find
themselves drawn into the centre of a debate on how to topple the
Government that is finally saying it will talk to the LTTE.
It is expected that the two Tamil parties, the Eelam People's
Democratic Party and the Ceylon Workers' Congress, (both are
partners in the Government) will reject any overtures to them by
the UNP.
But the Tamil parties in opposition are a different story. In an
exact mirror image of the TULF's toned down position, the Tamil
Eelam Liberation Organisation (TELO) has declared it will support
the no-confidence motion, but says it will be forced to
reconsider its stand if the Government calls a cease-fire against
the LTTE immediately.
The vociferously pro-LTTE All Ceylon Tamil Congress (ACTC), that
has one member in Parliament, has said it will back the UNP, come
what may. It is well-known that the LTTE has never really wanted
to engage with the Kumaratunga Government. The eagerness that it
has displayed in exploiting UNP moves to topple the Government
make that more obvious than ever before.
Those arguing on behalf of the LTTE have suggested quite openly
that the group would prefer to do business with the UNP rather
than with the Kumaratunga Government.
Commenting on the hesitation of some of the Tamil parties to back
the no-confidence motion, a noted pro-LTTE columnist in the
weekly Sunday Leader has warned them not to be ``deluded'' by the
Kumaratunga Government that an agreement has been reached for
peace talks.
It is being put out that even if the Government were to now
signal an acceptance of the LTTE's pre-conditions for talks, the
LTTE would refuse to play ball at this stage, as any positive
steps towards peace talks will send the Tamil parties decisively
to the Government's side, thereby strengthening it's position
vis-a-vis the UNP.
``The LTTE would be in no mood to help extricate the Government
from the mess it is in. The Government is in bad shape,
economically, militarily and politically. There is no compulsion
(for the LTTE) to rush in and help it. It would be far better for
the LTTE to pause a while and await the outcome of the Sri Lankan
political struggle,'' the columnist has written.
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