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An expanding interface
IT MAY BE premature to evaluate the long- term economic impact of
the U.S. President, Mr. Bill Clinton's five-day discovery of
India but what stands out is his categorical affirmation of the
immense positive potential of enhanced cooperation between the
two countries. Differences in political perceptions
notwithstanding, the U.S. and India offer perhaps a unique model
for economic partnership in a world which is increasingly being
driven by information technology even though India is yet to come
to grips with the full ramifications of a globally open economy.
Mr. Clinton's characterisation of IT as the world's newest and
fastest-growing economy has indeed sounded as if the U.S.
President is fully endorsing the vision of the new-generation of
politicians in India typified by Mr. N. Chandrababu Naidu, Chief
Minister of Andhra Pradesh, who seek to harness IT as the
instrument both for transparent governance and for the
empowerment of the poor. This does not, however, resolve the
basic contradictions involved in the current stage of economic
development of India where questions about the internet
penetration rate are not as important as those which relate to
availability of safe drinking water and basic road connectivity
for the rural poor. Mr. Clinton's description of IT as the best
weapon against poverty would sound somewhat utopian unless
entrepreneurs in the U.S. and in India know how to forge
effective collaboration for taking the benefits of IT to the
large illiterate masses in the country.
It may be that the Clinton visit to India did not arouse ecstatic
expectations of dramatic developments in economic collaboration
between the two countries. The fact that the U.S. President's
entourage did not include the stalwarts among the CEOs of FORTUNE
500 companies perhaps served to moderate exaggerated speculation
about how much U.S. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) would begin
to flow into this country as the direct outcome of Mr. Clinton's
visit. All this has not dampened legitimate ardour among the
Indian captains of industry and their American partners who
signed several business agreements on Friday in Mumbai relating
to IT, finance, energy and environment with a total envisaged
investment exceeding $2 billions. President Clinton himself has
reckoned that his visit has resulted in business commitments in
India totalling $4 billions on the part of U.S. investors apart
from a likely $1 billion assistance package from the U.S. Exim
Bank. A flurry of hurried Memoranda of Understanding (MoU) of the
kind signed in Mumbai in the presence of the U.S. Commerce
Secretary, Mr. William Daley, on Friday, need not necessarily
provide the window for the vast scope for industrial partnership
between U.S. companies especially the Medium and Small
Enterprises (MSEs) and their counterparts in India which need to
overcome the challenges of globalisation.
President Clinton's interactions both with the policymakers in
New Delhi and elsewhere and with Indian entrepreneurs in the IT
and ``the brick and mortar'' sectors could undoubtedly serve as
the springboard for more effective joint ventures in the future
between American and Indian enterprises. The belief that India
will figure far more as an investment destination for U.S.
investors in the future can, by no means, be regarded as
ambitious provided India's tryst with economic reforms persists
with greater political consensus. Given the fact that the U.S.
investments approved since 1991 have not translated into projects
even to the extent of 40 per cent of the investments involved and
that vast areas of infrastructure in India are crying for long
term investments, the scope for an expanding economic interface
between the two countries is indeed enormous.
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