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The victorious Mr. Putin
AFTER A DECADE under the stewardship of the mercurial but
impulsive Mr. Boris Yeltsin, post-Soviet Russia gets a President
who, from the little that is known of him, could not be more
different from the man he is succeeding. Four years ago, the
basic choice before the Russian electorate was described as one
between the apostate and the acolyte, between Mr. Yeltsin who had
given up communism after holding high office during the Soviet
period and Mr. Gennady Zyuganov, the steadfast communist who has
remained with the party undeterred by the collapse of the empire
and the presumed defeat of the communist ideology. In Sunday's
election, this clear line was perhaps somewhat blurred, with the
persistent Mr. Zyuganov pitted against a relatively unknown
candidate, a former secret service operative anointed as his
political heir by Mr. Yeltsin before his bombshell resignation on
new year's eve. The Presidential election, third since the
introduction of democracy in Russia, thus turned out in the main
to be between an avowed communist and a former apparatchik. The
consequence of this strange battle will be that the victory of
Mr. Vladimir Putin, the diminutive, self-effacing former colonel
of the dreaded spy agency of Soviet vintage, the KGB, is bound to
herald a break with the last few years of drift under Mr.
Yeltsin.
When Mr. Putin appeared on the world stage six months ago, first
in the dummy post of Prime Minister and then as Acting President,
little was known about him. There were as many unanswered
questions about Mr. Putin's past as about the course he would
follow if entrusted with power. In the three months he has acted
as President there was one acid test of the quality of his
leadership, provided by the renewed war in the breakaway republic
of Chechnya, and he scored high marks. The unqualified success of
that military campaign was one of the key factors for his
victory, with the population ready to reward him for his
commitment and determination once he set himself the goal. ``If
we don't stop the extremists, we will have a second Yugoslavia,
the Islamisation of Russia,'' he declared at the start of the
military campaign and went on to erase the national humiliation
suffered by the Russian army in two earlier wars against the
separatists in the region. The victory in Chechnya has propelled
him to the top at the Kremlin.
The vote is an appeal in desperation from the Russian people for
a halt to the all-round slide that the former superpower has seen
since the collapse of the Soviet Union. It is a measure of
Russia's falling global influence that a national election for
President has provoked little notice outside the country and even
less interest. A lacklustre campaign in a country in the midst of
one of its worst socio-economic crises and a veritable non-
contest combined to dampen interest. It was nevertheless a
crucial election since the verdict will set the course that
Russia takes in the next decade and more. The successive defeats
of Mr. Zyuganov will come as a blow to the communists, the former
ruling class. But questions remain about the road that Mr. Putin
will take and the future political landscape of Russia. The last
few months have witnessed efforts by the U.S. and a Putin-led
Russia to reshape their relationship. Under Mr. Yeltsin, Moscow's
foreign policy remained Washington-centred, surrendering to the
U.S. and accentuating the imbalances of the unipolar world. Only
in later years did Mr. Yeltsin see the benefit of sustaining
Russia's relations with other countries. Neighbours like India
with a stake in the evolution of a multipolar world will watch
for signals from the Putin Presidency.
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