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Inflation: the real picture now
By Alok Mukherjee
NEW DELHI, APRIL. 14. With the Central Government switching to
1993-94 as the base year for the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) from
the earlier base of 1980-81 prices, the annual rate of inflation
on a point-to-point basis has jumped to over four per cent.
As per the new series, the inflation rate for the week ended
April 1, 2000 was placed at 4.22 per cent, up from 4.16 per cent
for the week-ended March 25, 2000. However, the rate of inflation
on March 25 was recorded at 3.74 per cent, based on the earlier
series.
The new index for the WPI had been ready some time ago and the
switch was scheduled for the new financial year. Earlier, the
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), which collates macro-
economic data for the economy, had switched to 1993-94 as the
base year for most national accounts statistics. The year 1993-94
was selected because it was a ``normal year'' since the beginning
of the Nineties decade, the years 1991 and 1992 suffered from the
lag effects of a sharp deterioration in external balances as well
as other economic parameters like industrial production and
inflation.
Sources in the Finance Ministry indicated that though the new
series was reflecting a higher inflation rate, it was a more
realistic presentation of the actual situation prevailing on the
ground.
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