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A feel-good summit of tough talk
A MUTUAL RAPPORT, which the leaders of the United States and
Russia have established by their own reckoning at a summit in
Slovenia, does not conceal their differences over Washington's
futurist plans for a missile defence system. Nonetheless, the
international community can heave a sigh of relief, at least for
the present, that the U.S. President, Mr. George W. Bush, and his
Russian counterpart, Mr. Vladimir Putin, have agreed to enter
into a serious dialogue over their divergent perceptions of the
new threats to the global strategic order in the 21st century.
Mr. Bush says that the two sides will soon begin talks on a ``new
security framework'' as envisioned by him, while Mr. Putin is
keen on pushing for a bilateral engagement to identify an
``overall platform'' for joint endeavour. Shorn of the inevitably
arcane phraseology of strategic issues, the most significant
outcome of the meeting, which took place at a picturesque castle
in Ljubljana last week, is that the U.S. and post-Soviet Russia
will try to fathom whether they can indeed work together. The
idea is to ensure their own security and that of their respective
friends and allies. In post-summit utterances, the two leaders
have vied to describe a bond of mutual trust that they struck in
their first encounter. Mr. Putin has not only reaffirmed this
mystique of mutual confidence in updated comments this week but
also underlined his basic scepticism over the American notion of
a missile defence regime. New observations by the U.S. Secretary
of State, Gen. Colin Powell, and others, too, indicate that
Washington is beginning to convince itself of missile defence as
the next wonder in mankind's technological destiny.
Comparisons of the latest Bush-Putin parleys with some of the
earlier meetings between the leaders of America and the former
Soviet Union are simply not in order. Yet, the spirit of the
Ljubljana summit need not necessarily wither away. It is
obviously a matter of some impressionistic diplomacy that Mr.
Bush has been able to look Mr. Putin in the eye and get ``a sense
of his soul''. Yet, Mr. Putin also seems to have been responsive
to his interlocutor's charm offensive. If their willingness to
meet two or three times in the near future holds firm against the
uncertainties of an evolving global political situation, the U.S.
and Russia can surely address their concerns in a manner
consistent with the globalised threats of the unfolding post-Cold
War era. The easily identifiable challenges pertain to weapons of
mass destruction as also political and religious terrorism
besides contagious economic maladies with an inter-state
dimension.
Shortly before the Slovenia summit, Mr. Putin met the Chinese
leader, Mr. Jiang Zemin, in Shanghai and fuelled speculation
about the possibility of a new Sino-Russian strategic axis that
could confound Washington on the missile issue in particular. But
the undeniable effusiveness of Mr. Putin's subsequent gestures
towards Mr. Bush is indicative of Russia's self-confidence on two
counts. Washington is relatively isolated among the major powers,
including those in Europe, on the missile defence question. Mr.
Putin tends to see this reality as an advantage in the context of
Russia's own ``special responsibility'', in conjunction with the
U.S., to sustain the world's strategic balance. The relevant
reasoning is rooted in the fact that the U.S. and Russia are the
separate custodians of gigantic nuclear arsenals. And Mr. Putin
seems to count on the logic of their collective responsibility
under strategic arms limitation treaties and the Anti-Ballistic
Missile Treaty. Mr. Bush, in contrast, wants to wean Mr. Putin
away from China by arguing that Moscow can still become America's
``strong partner and friend''. Mr. Bush's gameplan can apply to
Russia in a way that his predecessor, Mr. Bill Clinton, actually
intended to deal with China. More such subtleties may
increasingly mark the global strategic debate.
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