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Online edition of India's National Newspaper Tuesday, July 03, 2001 |
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Astrology as a science subject
EVER SINCE the University Grants Commission (UGC), the statutory
government body that regulates and funds higher education, has
come up with the proposal to introduce astrology as a regular
science subject in the university curriculum, a vigorous debate
is on, both in favour and against this proposal.
Rationalists oppose astrology as a belief rooted in fear and
insecurity in the human psyche and believe the predictions as
smart guesswork. Many established scientists are opposing
astrology as a science subject as its methodology and
accountability don't fit into the established norms of scientific
research and teaching. Supporters of the proposal believe that
astrology can actually predict future and a proper study of
astrology at university level will lead to better prediction.
Since the basic hypothesis is based on planetary motions or some
biological features, the predictions involve mathematical
calculations and since some of the predictions do turn out to be
true, they believe that astrology qualifies to be a science
subject.
Different approach
Two recent articles (May 1 and June 12) of Prof. B. M. Hegde have
followed a very different approach to rebuff the criticism of the
UGC proposal. Many believe that these two articles have correctly
exposed the opposing scientific community and established that
astrology is as good a subject as any other science subject
currently taught at university level. The article on June 12
makes a case for astrology by undermining major achievements of
all branches of modern science. Since Prof. Hegde is the Vice-
Chancellor of a deemed university and the article analyses broad
fields of science, it gives an impression that Prof. Hegde is an
extremely learned person of science, therefore has the ability to
compare existing science subjects with astrology. A careful
reading of the article suggests the exact opposite.
A clear difference exists between scientific research and its
use. Research done at universities, institutions and labs is not
always carried out with commercial intention. Scientists like
everybody else would like to be useful to society and want their
research to help mankind. Like others they also seek fame and
awards.
However, major scientific achievements are mainly due to the
passion, dedication and hard work to understand natural
phenomena. The achievements are judged by the success in
understanding the phenomenon and advancement of knowledge. Rare
insights and explanations help quick progress and prevent
wasteful research. Since the task is set by society and benefits
society, acknowledgement of the achievement through an award like
the `Nobel Prize' is natural. To say that Einstein did not
deserve the prize for inventing `energy' because energy was
always there is to miss these points.
Moreover, neither did Einstein invent energy nor did he get the
Nobel Prize for that! Einstein got the Nobel Prize for explaining
`Photoelectric Effect', which could not be explained in terms of
the existing knowledge of his time. The ideas of quantum theory
of light put forward by him not only explained this simple
unexplained experiment, but led to rapid progress in modern
physics and quantum mechanics that eventually led to the
invention of most of the electronic gadgets people use today.
Totally unscientific
Modern science has already converged to a clear classification of
science and non-science based on the method of study. Most
scientific research is now quantitative and verifiable. Science
societies publish journals in which every research paper is first
examined by specialists of the field and then either published or
rejected. Once published, other scientists further verify the
work. After many years, sometimes decades, when no experiment to
the contrary is reported, the research work finds its way to
textbooks at the university level. One such topic in chemistry
textbooks explains why two gases oxygen and hydrogen with
volatile property combine to form a non-volatile liquid like
water. Chemistry, like any other science subject, limits itself
with just the understanding. Any moral judgment of sort ``the
whole need not be the sum total of the bits always'' from this
phenomenon is totally unscientific. At sub-atomic level each
substance consists of the same particles, but in different
numbers, which justify the different properties. Laws of Physics
only explain physical properties of natural phenomena. Contrary
to the claim of Prof. Hegde, First law of Thermodynamics does not
decide whether science should branch out to specialised fields or
remain holistic.
Chaos theory
Prof. Hegde's overenthusiasm for the sub-field of science `CHAOS'
is totally misplaced and based on the premise that it supports
astrology. A natural system could either be regular (clear
knowledge of evolution in time, therefore completely predictable)
or stochastic (no relation of subsequent events in time,
therefore unpredictable). Chaos theory shows that some complex
systems whose behaviour looks chaotic are actually deterministic.
Many popular books have just picked up this concept as it appeals
to the common man who would like everything to be known and
predictable. However, the basic property of systems governed by
deterministic chaos is ``extreme sensitiveness towards initial
conditions''. An insignificant disturbance in atmosphere at one
place can cause a storm miles away, an effect known in chaos
theory as ``Butterfly Effect''. This is why advanced weather
predictions are not so accurate. Only those chaotic systems,
which are governed by only a small number of known independent
events, can be predicted on short timescale and IMPOSSIBLE to
predict as time passes. It actually makes a case for total
rejection of astrology!
The results of science, once established, can be used for
commercial or military purposes. Society, through governments,
formulates and regulates the eventual use of science. Neither the
methods of science nor the scientists are responsible for any
wrong use. Rather, scientists are the most vocal opponents of
misuse of science and the methods developed by them help
governments to prosecute fraudulent companies misguiding the
people. Overemphasising the misuse and undermining the
achievements of established science subjects does not help in
making a case for a less evolved subject like astrology.
Science is now universal and the editorial boards of science
journals have scientists from all countries. Journals like
Science and Nature publish important science articles from every
field of science. Astrology cannot become science unless
astrologers get their theory verified and published in such
journals. Very few practising astrologers bother to update
themselves with current knowledge in planetary research,
mathematics and computational methods. Relying on Vedic methods,
making predictions based on data from ancient times and claiming
a conspiracy that western science is against Vedic science may
find support of a government rooted in similar belief, but will
not help in developing it as a science subject at university
level.
Organisation of a syllabus
A much more important issue is the organisation of a syllabus for
teaching astrology at the college and university level. Only
students with science subjects at school level can take admission
in a science subject at college level and then at university
level. The science syllabus at school level teaches the basic
concepts of established scientific theories. Students conduct
practicals to have first hand experience of some of these simple
natural laws. It is difficult to understand how such a student
will accept a completely probabilistic subject like astrology.
How would he react when a theory and predictions taught to him
fail with no convincing explanation? At the college level
students are never taught that scientific predictions can work
sometimes and fail sometimes! A three-year degree course involves
nearly 1,800 hours of classroom study. Does astrology have that
much of established and organised knowledge?
Who will teach this subject when it is introduced? Basic
qualification of a lecturer at college level, stringently set by
the UGC, is an M.Sc. in the respective subject and qualifying NET
conducted by the UGC. These conditions will have to be relaxed
for appointing the first few batches of teachers in astrology.
This will be an injustice to many students who do not find jobs
in colleges even after doing a Ph.D. It is impossible to wind up
a department opened in a government educational institution. Once
introduced, astrology automatically becomes an official science
subject in India for all time to come!
Unlike existing science subjects taught in the colleges,
astrology is a professional subject. People will rather prefer to
pay college students of astrology for making their horoscopes
than a roadside astrologer.This can neither be prevented nor
regulated. When students of existing science subjects go through
years of uncertainty in their careers, their friends studying
astrology can earn thousands while studying at college level. The
UGC even plans to issue a certificate to students of astrology
just after one year of undergraduate study. Once universities
churn out degree holders in astrology, there will be the demand
that the government allow them to practise astrology.
Real danger
Academicians play a significant role in the formulation of
government policies. Astrology claims that major events of human
life are predefined. For example, timing and cause of death is
covered under these predictable events. Astrologers regularly
claim successful prediction of death of important personalities.
A death can also happen due to a crime, negligence or natural
disaster. Modern society, through scientific methods and social
institutions, tries to minimise these. A government having
ministers and advisers believing in astrology can never be
sincere in this effort. This is the real danger that we shall
face as astrologers penetrate universities and social
institutions.
B. BISWAL
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