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China to 'deploy' ICBMs
By Sridhar Krishnaswami
WASHINGTON, SEPT. 6. China is getting ready to deploy its first
road mobile Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) with the
range to hit some parts of the western United States, The
Washington Times is reporting in its Thursday editions.
Quoting intelligence reports, the paper says that the first
missile units equipped with Dong Feng 31 missiles were detected
towards the end of July; and that the Pentagon has taken the
position that the full-fledged deployment could come by the end
of this year.
An intelligence official has said that the deployment was on a
faster schedule than expected but another has disagreed with this
assessment. Full-fledged deployment by the end of this year,
according to the second official, is in the ``realm of
possibility'' but not likely.
The Central Intelligence Agency has taken the position that China
is modernising its strategic missile force by shifting reliance
from long-range ICBMs to the development and deployment of mobile
missiles.
``We project that Beijing is already on a course to increase its
strategic warheads several fold by 2015 though to levels still
well below those of the United States or Russia'', said Mr. John
McLaughlin, CIA Deputy Director .
The Washington Times report - which will be routinely brushed
aside by Chinese officials on the grounds that the paper has an
agenda - comes at a time when the Bush administration is facing a
lot of questions on the kind of relations the U.S. hopes to have
with that East Asian country.
The White House, the Pentagon and the State Department have been
peppered with questions in the last few days on any ``trade-
offs'' the administration may have in mind in return for China's
backing of the President, Mr. George W. Bush's missile defence
plan. The New York Times reported last Saturday that Washington
may be inclined to look the other way while China modernises its
nuclear and missile arsenals and may even give the nod for
resumption of underground testing.
The White House soon went on the defensive with the President's
top aides led by the National Security Advisor saying that no
trade-offs have been thought of or were already in the works. On
Wednesday, it was the turn of the Defence Secretary, Mr. Donald
Rumsfeld, to deny media reports on trade-offs. Mr. Rumsfeld told
members of Congress that no one in the administration had given
the ``green light'' to China to proceed with its build-up of the
nuclear arsenal.
The question that is being posed in some quarters, including the
conservative ones, is the extent to which the Republican
administration is going to take the issue of nuclear and missile
build-up with the Chinese. The argument has been that the
administration may not have given the ``green light'' to China;
but the bottomline is the extent to which Washington may be
inclined to challenge the Chinese on the build-up in the context
of global and regional stability.
The Republican administration which started off gung- ho on China
is down to facing realities - in the same manner as the
Democratic administration under Mr. Bill Clinton came to terms
with it in 1993.
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