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'Civil aviation industry will emerge stronger'
By T.S. Shankar
KUALA LUMPUR, OCT.15 The global civil aviation industry will
weather the current turbulence and emerge stronger, the
International Air Transport Association (IATA) Director General
and CEO, Mr. Pierre J. Jeanniot, has said.
``I am very confident (about the recovery). But all the actors -
the Governments, infrastructure-providers and the airlines - need
to share the same vision'', he said while unveiling the forecast
for the global aviation sector.
Amidst this optimism, though, the Asian Airlines braced
themselves for capacity and pay cuts to cope with a post-
terrorist attack downturn, even as a global industry group
forecast a possible recovery by next September.
The IATA CEO has also said that in addition to more intense
application of conventional airport security screening, defence
against potential terrorism should consist of two elements:
better Government intelligence and a worldwide application of
biometrics.
``IATA has been advocating biometrics for the past two years.
People involved in using the air transport product, particularly
frequent flyers, or delivering the air transport product,
employees of airlines and airports, would have been subjected to
an Iris Scan check and their details stored on a data base. Once
they have been positively vetted, they would be allowed to go
about their business, with no further checking'', Mr. Jeanniot
has said.
Unveiling the IATA's proposal at a two-day international seminar
for Asia Pacific Journalists on Air Transport Safety Information
held in Kuala Lumpur on October 11 and 12, Mr. William Gaillard,
the IATA's Corporate Communications Director, said from November,
the Iris Scan would be introduced at the London Heathrow airport
by the British Airways and the Virgin Atlantic Airways.
The airline industry could bounce back within a year from the
September suicide attacks, said the International Air Transport
Association (IATA), which represents 275 of the world's airlines.
It based the forecast on the Gulf War experience. In 1991, it
took seven months for growth to return to the industry and
another four months for the industry to return to its longer-
term trend.
But getting there will be painful, Mr. Jeanniot has said adding
that September 11 would be remembered as the ``darkest day for
civil aviation''.
Before the attacks, the IATA estimate for 2001 was a loss of $2.5
billion for international scheduled services of the IATA
worldwide. Now it is looking at net losses of $7 billion on
scheduled services if traffic and capacity were both cut by 15
per cent in the December quarter, Mr.Jeanniot said.
This translated into a 2001 traffic reduction of nearly five per
cent and nearly 3 per cent in capacity.
Airlines have already taken drastic steps to beef up security
since September 11, including strengthening cockpit doors and
limiting carry-on hand bags to one.
These add to the financial pressure on a global business with
thin margins and fixed costs. The global civil aviation sector
has lost over 120,000 jobs in the last four weeks.
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