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Limited liaison
By Vladimir Radyuhin
RUSSIA has backed U.S. strikes in Afghanistan, but an emerging
clash of interests between Moscow and Washington may hamper their
cooperation in the region.
The President, Mr. Vladimir Putin, has pledged non-military aid
to the operation, sharing intelligence information on the Taliban
and Osama bin Laden bases. Russia has also stepped up military
assistance to the Northern Alliance, the only organised
opposition force in Afghanistan. Besides, Moscow's allies in
Central Asia have offered support facilities for the U.S.
operation in Afghanistan.
Russia has ruled out any direct military participation, refusing
not only to send its bombers or troops to Afghanistan, but even
denying air space to U.S. planes.
Moscow is largely sceptical about the anti-terrorist value of the
U.S. strikes in Afghanistan, regarding them as a largely
psychological exercise to heal the American trauma from the
September 11 attacks. Mr. Putin pointedly warned against fighting
terrorism by striking at its fruit with a stick instead of
reaching for its roots. Moscow is convinced that the Taliban and
the Al-Qaeda should be fought on the ground with the Afghan
opposition forces. Nevertheless, it has gone along with the U.S.-
led operation hoping it will help do away with the Taliban
regime, which it regards as a threat to Central Asia. Also,
support for the American war has helped Russia win greater
acceptance in the West for its own war in Chechnya.
Before long, it has transpired that Russia and the U.S. pursue
different agendas in Afghanistan. While Washington sees a role
for ``moderate'' sections of the Taliban in a future political
setup in Afghanistan, Moscow is opposed to inducting the militia
in any form. Moscow has been pouring weapons to the friendly
Northern Alliance, whereas the U.S. has been trying to split the
alliance by backing only the Uzbek leader, Gen. Abdul Rashid
Dostum, while denying air support to the Tajik component of the
Alliance. This is seen in Moscow as an attempt to prevent the
Northern Alliance from gaining leverage in any post-Taliban power
sharing, and also as part of a broader nexus between the U.S. and
Uzbekistan to give America a foothold in the region.
Uzbekistan, which has been the most forthcoming among the Central
Asian states in offering its military bases to the Americans,
sees the new partnership with the U.S. as a golden opportunity to
establish itself as a regional superpower. The Uzbek President,
Mr. Islam Karimov, apparently counts on massive U.S. financial
aid to prevent an Islamic backlash at home.
The American tactic of weakening Russian influence in Afghanistan
may intensify rivalry between the two countries and affect the
course of the military operation in Afghanistan. It is vital for
Moscow to keep northern Afghanistan under the control of forces
friendly to Russia. At a meeting with Russia's top military brass
last week, Mr. Putin is reported to have decided to step up arms
supplies to the forces of Gen. Mohammad Qassim. Other options
include providing air support to the Northern Alliance from
Russia's bases in Tajikistan and beefing up the anti-Taliban
forces with ethnic Tajiks and Uzbeks serving in the Russian 201st
army division in Tajikistan.
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